VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY- 20th August, 2012

EUR/USD

EUR/USD:  

We had asked all of our traders to carry forward till Monday (today) on their Short EUR/USD from 1.2375

and Target hit at 1.2290; however which has once again bounced on the upside. However we are still playing on the range and therefore would look at the same levels of resistance in order to go for short levels…however we would be looking for 1.2410/1.2415 for a breach to affirm an upside in the same. Nevertheless we would be initiating short positions at levels around 1.2380 till 1.2390 levels for its downside of 1.2330/1.2335. Only a breach below of 1.2320 would then push it lower to 1.2290 and then towards 1.2255 levels. Considering this is a Holiday with minimal data no major movement could be expected in European Session until the US session opens up, with S&P 500 still holding its resistance on the topside.

However if selling appears to be solid a break of 1.2260/1.2255 would indefinitely push it to 1.2215/1.2202 levels for

today. Nevertheless if sideways movements continue then we would be sticking on the levels instated.

Mode: SIDEWAYS Supports:: 1.2325, 1.225   5 Resistance: 1.2405, 1.2480.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD:

GBP/USD too seems to be playing range bound, however at one stage seemed quite weak after is loss  1.5685/80 levels on Friday and hence we are looking that its trends on the upside be capped till 1.5745 levels. We would be therefore looking for opportunities to go short at levels around 1.5730/1.5745 levels and would negate our downside only if the levels of 1.5752/1.5460 are breached strongly to test its next resistance at 1.5775/1.5780 levels. Therefore any upside should be seen to test 1.5730 levels to go short but should hold it strongly to test 1.5690 followed by 1.5665/60 levels.

Mode: Bearish Supports::      1.5680, 1.5655, 1.5625 Resistance: 1.5750, 1.5782

AUD/USD

AUD/USD: 

On Friday we had asked all our Traders To enter-into Long in AUD/USD at 1.0410/1.0412 levels despite our Positional Call given since August 14th at 1.0560/1.0540 levels and hence achieving our 1st objective around 1.0450/1.0440 levels. We would be covering our long Calls given on Friday over here as the Hourly Charts are well overbought but would be re-instating longs again at 1.0420/1.0408 levels. The levels of around 1.0380 is quite crucial in order to negate the bounce in AUD/USD as the break below would emancipate huge selling in the market for levels to tests 1.0330/1.0315 levels. However considering this would be a sideways day we would be exiting our long calls at 1.0450 levels and hence re-instating longs only if 1.0408 levels are held strongly.

Mode: SIDEWAYS/BEARISH    Supports:: 1.0405, 1.0378, 1.0330 Resistance: 1.0450, 1.0500, 1.0520

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Nifty & USD/INR Report- 12th July, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

Nifty Analysis By xDirect India

Indian equities extended intraday losses and is near day’s low as traders continued to book profits after a sharp up-move in last session and weak global cues. Brokers said reports of less than average monsoon rains this season might hamper efforts to boost economy and hurt company earnings this quarter impacted the market sentiment. The IMD said that monsoon, the life- line of Indian agriculture, has covered the entire country but rains are still deficient by 23%. Indian markets ended today`s session on a lower note on the back of weak global cues and heavy selling witnessed in auto, FMCG, realty and metal stocks.

The gap down open in the market has definitely enabled the sellers to prompt their activities considering we had yet other depressing FOMC minutes where no sign of QE was provided. This shifted the mindset of traders which now in turn are in selling activities. The immediate resistance comes in at 5290 levels followed by 5325 levels on the rising trend line (former support and now resistance). Expect selling pressure to remain at higher levels unless we have a fundamental trigger which makes the price action to close above 5320 levels, would negate the bearish bias.

View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR Analysis By xDirect India

The Indian Rupee extended losses on Monday falling to its lowest levels in almost a week led by weak cues across the Asian and European stocks markets and post the acute drop in the Euro on Friday which slipped to its two year lows below the 1.2300 level. Broad weakness in the domestic stock markets also put pressure on the local currency which finished with a loss of a percentage yesterday. It seems even though a slight positive reaction in the European currencies did not aid any boost to risk appetite neither towards appreciation to INR value. We therefore require a more of a fundamental trigger that would enable an upside in the same.

The USDINR pair seems to hold its daily Fibonacci support at 55.74 and if it continues to do so then we are looking at 55.92, 56.08 and then 56.14. However a break of intraday low which is also the support (Fibonacci) then 55.65 followed by 55.50 would be tested. We keep our bias on the upside.


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Nifty & USD/INR Report- 19th June. 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

Nifty Analysis_19.06.2012_xDirect India

The ongoing worries of Spain that pushed its yield rates to over 7.25% yesterday is overshadowing the Greek elections that came out to attempt a positive vibe in the global market. However, it was soon faded as borrowings become more expensive in the Euro Zone debt ridden nations. The one domestic fundamental that could have provided the much needed support would have been the RBI monetary policy decision; nevertheless all its rates (including CRR) were kept unchanged as RBI still thinks that inflation would be the more sought out problem rather than growth for the economy. European markets too ended mixed as worries about Spain and Italy dominated investor sentiment. Italy and Spain markets closed with 3% losses, while Germany, France and UK markets ended mixed. With no major data reported yesterday, US markets closed in mixed with Dow Jones slipping 0.20% while S&P 500 and NASDAQ eking out gains of 0.14% and 0.78% respectively.

Nifty closed in the negative by 75 points at 5064 just below its support of 5065;; moreover those alone weren’t the only problems that were to be faced as FITCH lowered India’s sovereign debt rating to negative from stable.

 For today the markets could come under pressure; however it could turn out that trading would be mixed as we turn into FOMC rate decision on Wednesday and the possible reactions to it. Therefore the support levels for intraday lies in 5060 levels (Falling trend line) followed by 5012 levels (horizontal Line support). Only a breach of 5044 levels could trigger another bearish trend for the Nifty to test 4954 levels (61.80% retracement). Resistance at 5082-5090 levels (50% retracement) followed by 5120 levels.

View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR Analysis_19.06.2012_xDirect India

The Indian Rupee slipped to its lowest levels in almost a week on Monday after the domestic central bank kept the benchmark interest rates unchanged, while Fitch downgrade of country’s outlook and late session cues from the European markets also hurting sentiment. The partially convertible Rupee fell to as low as 56.04 to the USD in the latter half taking domestic and global cues while closed at 55.9050 against the US Dollar as compared to Friday’s finish at 55.39.

Weakness in the local shares to contributed to the weakness in the INR. Indian shares dropped more than 1.4% marking their biggest percentage fall since June 1, led by a sell-off in Banking and financial sector after the central bank unexpectedly kept interest rates on hold. The RBI in its monetary policy review cited its continued concerns about inflationary pressures and weakening domestic fundamentals for no change in rates.

The home currency is expected to open lower on Tuesday tracking weakness in the Asian markets and after the EURUSD fell sharply against the day’s high at 1.2750 levels yesterday. Today morning, the common currency is trading with marginal gains which might provide some support to the local unit, though overall trend seems to be weak.

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Nifty & USD/INR Report – 8th June, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

Nifty Analysis_08.06.2012_xDirect India

Markets continued inspiring from risen hope of policy rate cut and positive market sentiments after PM Dr. Manmohan Singh announced a big push to the infrastructure development in the country. European and Asian markets were up too over the speculation that Central Bank will respond with stimulus measures to resolve the crisis in Spanish banks. Asian markets were positive on the expectations that China will cut key policy rates to ease growth. Overall, the world equity markets witnessed a good rally. Interest sensitive sectors – banks, infra, auto, real estate etc performed well on the expectation of rate cut in the monetary policy to be announced on June 18, 2012.

The Nifty has managed to sustain & close above the 5,000-5,020 levels which are still signifying a bullish signal. The index has strong support at 5,000 levels on the downside. There is an immediate resistance at 5,060 levels on the upside and on a close above expect rise to 5,120 & 5,140 levels. Downside support of 4978 levels (low of June 7th, 2012) should be tested if bearish trend persists 4954.2 (61.8% retracement).

However considering the equity markets will take cues from the ongoing sentiments of the global indices that has diverted towards downhill after US Federal Reserve Chairman remained silent and still resilient on increasing further stimulus in the market.

View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR Analysis_08/06.2012_xDirect India

The Indian Rupee moved above the key 55 barrier late Thursday, hitting its strongest level in more than two weeks against the Greenback, better than expected bond auctions by Spain and France, healthy gains in the domestic stock markets and rate cut in China in late trade boosted revival in global risk sentiment. The home currency stepped up to 54.94 against the USD as compared to Wednesday’s close of 55.36. Earlier during the day it hit a high of 54.92, its strongest level since May 28.

Indian Rupee Intraday Outlook:

The Indian Rupee is expected to open with moderate losses on Friday as weakness in the Asian stocks after Bernanke comments appended by the drop in the EURUSD would impute a bearish sentiment while trading in the local currency.

The  resistance  at  55.25  (at  23.6% retracement) is witnessed following a breach would push it towards 55.40 and 55.72 levels. Support at 55.02 would be well kept; however if global markets would once again resume their risk appetite trends then lower end of the bullish channel would be tested in at 54.75.

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Nifty & USD/INR Report – 7th June, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

 India’s benchmark indices rose 2.7% on Wed, posting their biggest daily percentage gain since early January 2012 that was boosted by hopes of a rate cut by the RBI. Expectations that the ECB will announce more stimulus measures to resolve Euro Zone’s financial problems also contributed to the gains in global markets.

Market has moved upp in the expectation of policy actions both at India and International levels. We anticipate market may test resistance at around 5050-5075 and will need actual policy actions from various governments to cross this level.
Market  sentiments  were  positive on  the announcement from the European Central Bank issuing a schedule for an additional long term refinancing operation (LTRO) as insurance against further flight of banks accounts in Europe. Rising hope of policy rate cut by RBI, expected positive outcome from upcoming realty and construction sector also moved on the back of cuts in rates from the RBI.

Nifty has breached the resistance of 4965 levels, where decisively it portrays a bullish pattern. Only a further trigger should bee provided from various governments in order for a clean upside rally in the equity markets. Index is likely to cross 5,000 mark to test levels at 5,060 followed by 5,120 levels. As positions on net buyers have increased the support of 4960 should be labeled as an opportunity to go long, a break of which 4938 should be held as intraday support. Nevertheless the breach of the same should negate the bullish sentiments across the market.

View On Indian Rupee

USD/INR_07.06.2012_xDirect India

The Indian Rupee advanced for the third straight session against the Greenback led by improving risk appetite amidst increasing hopes of stimulus from larger economies. Gains in the domestic stock markets too aided the strength in the local currency which has been able to stay well above the record low of 56.52 hit on last Thursday.

Yesterday, the partially convertible Rupee ended at 55.36 to the USD after trading in a range between 55.61 on the upside to 55.15 on the downside and ended the day at 55.35.
The Indian Rupee is expected to trade positively today, tracking the strong gains in the Asian stocks and the uptick in the Euro which pushing the Dollar index lower. Nevertheless a rate cut from RBI should actually pave for depreciation in Indian Rupee; however as equity markets rally’s across the board the depreciation would be negated by boosting the strength in the Indian Rupee.

As London session begins we expect a further upside in the Indian rupee, where the USDINR would be poised to test the lower end of the bull trend channel at 54.80 levels and only a breach and close below it should provide leeway for 54.35 levels (horizontal line support coupled with June1st low). On the resistance front, yesterday’s high of 55.61 should negate the downside in the pair and should be considered as intraday upper resistance.

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Nifty & USD/INR Report 1st June, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

Nifty Analysis_1.6.2012_xDirect India

The Indian markets dipped and closed in a dismal state considering poor reports from 1st quarter GDP numbers of FY13,, coupled with persistent weakness in the global markets has indeed kept the pressure on the risk appetite among investors to initiate their buying .
The losses were led mainly from the Auto ancillary, Banking,, Capital Goods and metal Stocks. The Index opened up itself on the gap
down, as negativity started looming among the local traders on the back of bloating fears of Greece’s exit from Euro Zone. Nevertheless the  bear market just happened to par its losses but only to a certain extent, as inflation numbers reported from the Euro Zone came in better than expected; however more than a catalyst run we anticipate a certain pullback was witnessed due to continuous selling being made on the Indian equity market.
For today, the market does have a potential to go  down  even  further,  considering  the persistent depreciation in the Indian Rupee
that still chokes on the investors; nevertheless with US employment data to be reported some sort of consolidation could be ascertained considering the global markets would now strategize based on the catalyst reported today.

Nifty bounced from the support levels of 4870 and closed above 4900 levels at 4924. Interim resistance is witnessed at 4970-4985 levels, where a fresh bout of selling could be expected however, if the rally persists, which may prompt by bringing new buyers where one can expect levels to test 5047 and 5085 levels.

View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR_1.6.2012_xDirect India

The US markets closed in flat; however considering the US Dollar’s persistent strength would push INR higher; however we anticipate a certain amount of pullback could be expected in the US Dollar that should preserve the pair to once again record a new all-time high.
Globally, Euro has extended its losses to mark its fresh lows in 2012 and dropped near the July 2010 lows on sustained weakness from the Spanish and Greek financial and political system. The EURUSD slipped in late trade yesterday to close more than 1% lower at 1.2365 levels, against the USD while it fell more than 1.6% against the Yen to finish at  97.70. Markets are concerned regarding the Spain’s struggle to rescue its troubled banks while additional pressure emerged after Italy sold less than its maximum target at a debt auction.

Intraday Outlook:
The Indian Rupee is expected to continue its pullback from the high of 56.50, to test its supports at 55.58 (23.60% retracement from low of 52.68 to recent high of 56.50).. Resistance at intraday high of 56.27 would be maintained and only a break should push it higher towards 56.68 (Fibonacci expansions)

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Nifty & USD/INR Report 30th May, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

Nifty Analysis_30.5.2012-xDirect India

The initial trading on the Indian markets that opened in thee positive note, nevertheless steamed out its positive up move, as the
benchmark index closed in flat in yesterday’s session. The strength in the US Dollar persisted, where every dips in the same is turning out to be an opportunity for the traders to buy on it. Moreover the month end buying on the US Dollar from the importers has actually led further depreciation in the Indian Rupee that has choked on the positive move in the Indian markets.
The back-to-back blows on risk aversion were provided on the back of subdued US Consumer Confidence (May) that slid to 64.9 from its expectations of 70.0 moreover with fresh downgrade on Spanish Banks; the risk appetite had to dissolve among bull-traders itself.
For today the markets may remain under pressure,  however if  certain amount  of pullback on the US Dollar is witnessed then the negative verse of Nifty could be gripped eminently.

Nifty closed below the crucial 5000 mark closing marginally below the 4,990 mark. However the support is maintained at 4920 levels for the intraday and a break should enable the price action to test 4875 levels.
Resistance is maintained at 4960-4975 levels and only a close above the 5000 mark should trigger a bull rally.

View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR_30.5.2012_xDirect India

The Indian Rupee fell on Tuesday, breaking a three day winning streak, as stronger Dollar in the international markets coupled with Dollar demand from oil firms to meet their month end import commitments inflicted trading sentiment locally. The downtick in the Indian Stock markets from day’s high too weighed the trading momentum heavily.
Intra-day Outlook
Spot USDINR: The home currency is expected to trade weak today imputed by the weakness in the Euro. EURUSD trading at two year low is also putting pressure on almost all Asian markets currencies in the early morning on Wednesday. Volatility is expected to be high specifically in the afternoon trade as markets will look for fresh cues from the European markets.
A certain downside could be expected considering  the data’ss reported yesterday would be priced in; moreover some amount of profit booking could be witnessed, as the gap has been filled.
Resistance at 56.30 followed by 56.38 would be watched.
Support at 55.90 would be well kept however if we see a breach then intraday low of 55.65 would be tested.

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Nifty & USD/INR Report 29th May, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

Nifty Analysis_29th May_xDirectIndia

The Indian markets settled on a higher note yesterday, as global markets nevertheless gave in favorable cues that aided Nifty to break
above the pivotal 4,950 mark. Even though the afternoon session there some profit booking witnessed on the counter, positive movement on the European market instilled that the Indian markets remain in the positive side. Among Industrial Sectors Banking topped the performance that prompted buying in the market, where the Benchmark SENSEX added 199 points closing the day at 16416.84, meanwhile Nifty too closing above 65 points closing in at 4985.65 points.

The resistance at 4957 has been breached, where decisively has portrayed a bullish signal in the same. The resistance at 5032 followed by 5078 could be tested in coming sessions; nevertheless for today the positive moves could be a bit subdued marking the movements flat in the same.

Supports remain at levels around 4965-4940, if holds strongly then we anticipate another bout of buying may be witnessed to close above 5000 mark

View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR_29th May_xDirectIndia

The correction in the US Dollar seemed to have come in a good time, boosting the strength on the Rupee that pulled away from its all-time low of 56.38.
The selling on the US Dollar also came on the back of renewed appetite among traders overall that started the week with pulling away from the oversell region; however we still anticipate the trends are still uncertain and therefore the trading and movement for the week would remain flat, as media-favorite Non   Farm   Payrolls   and  US employment numbers would be in store for a trend to be showcased for the near future.

 

Intra-day Outlook

Spot USDINR:
Despite a small showdown of INR appreciation has been witnessed for the past 3 session, we still keep our bias towards upside for the pair, as the support of 54.90 would be held strongly in the spot market. The supports on the interim are seen towards 55.53 (23.60% retracement from the low of 52.668 May 8th to the recent high of 56.379 on May 24th) followed by 55.05 and then 54.90 (both resistance turned support). Today the movement would be quite as traders decide on the catalyst to decide on its next trade strategies.

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Nifty & USD/INR Report- 23rd March, 2012

View On Nifty 

Nifty: Nifty yesterday after the Negative opening at 5374 failed to trade above 5410 and reverted where on higher side it tested the level of 5406 and closing was seen at 5223 at the days Low. Asia markets fell Friday amid renewed concerns about global growth, with losses for banks and property firms pushing Hong Kong into the red, while a stronger yen weighed on Japanese exporters. Global markets switched to a risk-off stance this week, led by disappointing global manufacturing numbers. The euro area [data] suggests the economy is still in the woods, as France and Germany look vulnerable to slowdowns. Today as the Asian market are flat and nifty is expected to open sideway and trading range for the day will be 5270 resistance and support of5190 level. On higher side it may test the level of 5250 to 5270 and then after reversal in price may be seen and crossover below 5190 will bring back to 5150 - 5120 level lower side, whereas on higher side resistance is seen at 5295. Stochastic which are trading in the mid zone has give negative intersection and is still nearing 30% where its side way to downside moving and some correction is still expected in near term with yesterday move.

View On USD/INR:                                                            


USD/INR:    Rupee in last trading session closing was seen at 50.63 where price are trading in the upside moving range in the past few trading session, where the lower side support is seen at 50.4 and resistance of 51 was holding. Today opening is seen at the level of 50.66 where news from Europe, Greece is close to restructuring its debts with private creditors, and although such an agreement will serve as a welcome sigh of relief, much remains to be done to get the bulk of Europe growing again. In short term trading range will be 50.8 supports and 51.5 resistances and will remain side way to upside move in coming days. Stochastic are trading side way which has given positive intersection in lower zone which indicates price will move side way to positive and will in the trading range for some time.

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NIFTY & USD/INR Report 22nd December, 2011

VIEW ON NIFTY

Nifty: Nifty yesterday after the positive opening at 4623 failed to cross the lower support of 4600 and on the higher side it tested the level of 4721 where the closing was also seen at days high. Today as the Asian market is trading -ve it’s expected that Nifty will open gap down around 4680 where on lower side will take immediate support of 4650 and sustain below 4650 will bring to 4580 to 4500 in near term, whereas on higher side its not expected to trade above 4750 and till the time its holding 4750 selling will continue in market. On lower side if sustain trading is seen below 4500 will open the door for 4300 to 4100 in medium term, whereas on higher side resistance is seen at 4750. Stochastic has just popped out above over sold zone and is flat at the level where some range bounce move is expected till the time resistance is holding and may look some selling pressure if trading is seen below 4650 and will reenter in oversold zone.

VIEW ON RUPEE

USD/INR: Rupee yesterday after the gap down opening at 52.92  couldn’t trade above 53 and on lower side it tested the level of 52.51 where most of the trading was range bound and closing was seen near 52.67 levels. Today opening was seen positive around 52.92 per$ where it’s still taking resistance of 53 and is trading -ve at 52.82 where trading range for the day will be 52.5 and 53 where as on lower side buying is expected if support holds at 52.5 and crossover above 53 will bring to 53.5 – 54 in near term. In short term trading range bound to upside move is expected where it will move slowly to test 54 again and 54.5 in medium terms where buying at dips is advice in medium term for positional traders. Stochastic which are trading in the mid zone is showing sign of reversal with positive intersecting which indicates if price move above 53 short term bottom is place and can test 45 and 54.5 level and will move beck to enter in over bought zone.

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View on Major Currencies & Commodities 19th Dec, 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY


EUR/USD: EURO on Friday was trading I the range of 1.2995 lower supports and on higher side resistance was seen at 1.3085 and closing was flat to positive at 1.3035 level. Today’s opening was seen at 1.3030 level and taking the higher resistance of 1.3050 is trading at 1.3000 and expect to trade negative in the range of 1.3050 and 1.2800 for the day. We are looking at some selling pressure in Euro from higher level where it’s not expected to trade above and cross 1.3150 and is expected to test 1.2800 in medium terms. Stochastic which has given a down trend is nearing the mid zone below 30% moving to enter oversold zone indicating further selling to continue in near term.

GBP/USD: British Pound on Friday was trading in the range of 1.5480 lower side support and resistance was seen at 1.5555 level. Today the opening was seen flat around the level of 1.5225 and taking support of 1.5460 is trading at 1.5490 level and expected trading range will be 1.5550 – 1.5400. Further trading below 1.5450 will continue the down trend where 1.5400 to 1.5350 will be immediate target. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1.5550 and crossover above the same will move to test 1.5800 to 1.5900 again. Till the time 1.5550 is holding on closing basis short correction can be expected. Stochastic which were trading in mid zone with positive intersection is nearing the higher zone where some upside may be expected.

AUS/USD: Australian Dollar on Friday which open at 0.9980 failed totrade below 0.9890 and after testing the higher level of 1.0025 clsoing was seen at 0.9965 level. Today after positive opening around 0.9986 it fails to cross higher resistance of 1.0000 and is trading at 0.9920 where immediate resistance is seen at 0.9950 and if trading is seen below 0.9900 will move to test 0.9840 and 0.9800 immediately. On higher side sustain trading above immediate resistance level of 0.9980 will bring to 1.0100 level. Stochastic has given negative intersection just in the mid zone where down side move can be expected.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar on Friday opening at 0.7527 failed to trade below 0.7500 and after testing the higher level of 0.7650 closing was seen at 0.7600 level. Today the opening was seen positive at 0.7635 taking support of 0.7570 it is trading at 0.7595 level where on higher side resistance is seen at 0.7650 and till the time its holding the same selling at rise is expected and will test 0.7440 to 0.7350 in near term. We expected some range bound to down side move in market where 0.7500 is resistance and support is seen at 0.73500 and selling at rise is advice in near term. Stochastic has drifted below overbought zone where if price trade below support level correction may be seen of recent sharp rally.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen yesterday closing was seen at 77.97 after testing lower level of 77.62 where it’s trading positive and in range bound move where 78.5 was almost retested. Today opening was seen at 77.9 and is trading just above 77.65 near 77.86 levels where support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Trading range can be seen for the day where 78.3 will be higher side resistance and support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Stochastic has given positive intersection where side way move in price can be expected.

VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES


Gold: Gold on Friday after the opening at 1605 failed to trade below1570$ and reversal in price was seen and after testing the days high of 1601$ closing was seen at 1597$ which was just below the resistance level of 1600$. Today opening was seen positive around 1602$ and is trading at 1588$ where it’s trading near the support level of 1580$ and till the time 1600$ is holding we expect it to test 1550$ and 1540$ to be tested immediately. On higher side at 1600$ where if it holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1540$ on lower side and further trading below 1540$ will continue the down trend on market where 1470$ will be tested. Stochastic has entered in the oversold zone and is still moving down side where if the support level is crossed will further move lower and will indicate down trend to continue.

Silver: Silver on Friday which opened at 29.25$ tested the lower level of 29.08 where it failed to cross the lower level of 29 and reversal in price were seen where it tested the higher level of 29.89 and closing was also seen at 29.62$ just facing resistance at 30$. Today after the flat opening at 28.9$ it is trading at 28.5$ where on lower side support is taken at 28 $ and next support is coming at 26$. If sustain trading is seen below 28$ will test the lower level of 26$ to 24$ immediately, where as only crossover above 31$ on closing basis will bring to 35$ next resistance level. On higher side only on closing basis above 31$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. Stochastic has just neared the oversold zone around 20% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 28$ will bring to next support of 24$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude on Friday where the positive opening was seen at 104.23$ from the previous closing of 103.2$ after testing the fresh low of 102.4$ reversal in price were seen and closing was seen at 103.74 after testing the days high of 104.52$. Today after gap down opening at 102.87 failed to cross the higher resistance of 103 and is trading at 102.6 $ where below 102.4$ is support if broken further down side move can be expected. Crossover above 105$ is must for further uptrend to continue where we wait for closing basis breakout for higher level of 111$. If sustain trading below 102.5$ will open the door for 101 to 98$ on lower side till the time 105$ is holding for the day. Stochastic is trading flat to negative in the mid zone where is turned negative and is expected to move towards the 25% where some more down side can be seen in the price in coming days.

Copper: Copper yesterday after the gap up opening at 7307 tested the higher resistance of 7400 and closing was seen flat around the level of 7300 where on lower side support was seen at 7260 level. Today we look side way to negative trend to continue where will test 7250 level soon and only if the resistance of 7400 break will continue the uptrend where it will test 7150 – 7450 level immediately. Today expected to give opening near to 7250 and expected trading range will be 7600 to 7300 where selling is advise on every rise till the time resistance is holding at 8000. Stochastic has turned negative and is just drifted below overbought zone where it is just below 20% zone where further price action will bring it towards oversold zone.

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View on Major Currencies & Commodities 14th Dec, 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY

EUR/USD: EURO yesterday after the opening was seen at 1.3170 failed to trade above 1.3200 and after crossing the lower support of 1.3160 it gave further selling where on lower side it tested the level of 1.3008 just testing support of 1.3000 and closing was seen at 1.3033 at days low. Today’s opening was seen at 1.3033 level and taking the lower support of 1.3000 is trading at 1.3045 and expect to trade negative in the range of 1.3100 and 1.2900 for the day. We are looking at some selling pressure in Euro from higher level where it’s not expected to trade above and cross 1.3250 and is expected to test 1.3050 in medium terms. Stochastic which has given a down trend is nearing the mid zone below 30% moving to enter oversold zone indicating further selling to continue in near term.

GBP/USD: British Pound yesterday after the opening at 1.5580 failed to trade above 1.5650 and later part of trading session it tested the lower level of 1.5445 and closing was seen at 1.5480 level. Today the opening was seen flat around the level of 1.5480 and taking support of 1.5450 is trading at 1.5490 level and expected trading range will be 1.5550 – 1.5400. Further trading below 1.5450 will continue the down trend where 1.5400 to 1.5350 will be immediate target. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1.5550 and crossover above the same will move to test 1.5800 to 1.5900 again. Till the time 1.5550 is holding on closing basis short correction can be expected. Stochastic which were trading in mid zone with positive intersection is nearing the higher zone where some upside may be expected.

AUD/USD: Australian Dollar yesterday after the opening at 1.0070 level failed to sustain above 1.0200 level and closing was seen at 1.0015 where days low was posted at 0.9977 previous days low was seen. Today after flat opening around 1.0015 it fails to cross the lower support of 0.9980 and is trading at 1.0025 where immediate resistance is seen at 1.0080 and if trading is seen below 1.0010 will move to test 0.9940 and 0.9900 immediately. On higher side sustain trading above immediate resistance level of 1.0250 will bring to 1.0500 level. Stochastic has given negative intersection just in the mid zone where down side move can be expected.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar yesterday after the opening at 0.7625 failed to trade above 0.7670 and after crossing the lower support of 0.7600 it tested the lower level of 0.7550 support and closing was seen at 0.7566 level. Today the opening was seen flat at 0.7565 taking support of 0.7530 it is trading at 0.7565 level where on higher side resistance is seen at 0.7600 and till the time its holding the same selling at rise is expected and will test 0.7480 to 0.7400 in near term. We expected some range bound to down side move in market where 0.7700 is resistance and support is seen at 0.7500 and selling at rise is advice in near term. Stochastic has drifted below overbought zone where if price trade below support level correction may be seen of recent sharp rally.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen yesterday closing was seen at 77.97 after testing lower level of 77.62 where it’s trading positive and in range bound move where 78.5 was almost retested. Today opening was seen at 77.9 and is trading just above 77.65 near 77.86 levels where support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Trading range can be seen for the day where 78.3 will be higher side resistance and support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Stochastic has given positive intersection where side way move in price can be expected.

VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES

Gold: Gold yesterday after the opening at 1666$ failed to trade above 1680$ and after crossing the support level of 1655$ it tested the level of 1622$ and closing was also seen near the lower level of 1620$. Today opening was seen flat around 1630$ and is trading at 1637$ where its trading below the support level of 1625$ and till the time 1655$ is holding we expect it to test 1600$ and 1580$ to be tested immediately. On higher side at 1655$ where if it holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1605$ on lower side and further trading below 1600$ will continue the down trend on market where 1550$ will be tested. Stochastic has entered in the oversold zone and is still moving down side where if the support level is crossed will further move lower and will indicate down trend to continue.

Silver: Silver yesterday after opening at 31.2$ continued to down trend where on higher side it resistance was seen at 32$ and after crossing the level of 31 it moved and tested the lower level of 30.4$ and closing was just above the support level of 30.5$ around 30.7$. Today after the flat opening at 30.75$ it is trading at 30.9$ where on lower side support is taken at 30.5 $ and next support is coming at 30$. If sustain trading is seen below 31$ will test the lower level of 30.4$ to 30$ immediately, where as only crossover above 33$ on closing basis will bring to 35$ next resistance level. On higher side only on closing basis above 35$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. On lower side immediate support is seen at 31$ where sustain trading below the same will bring to 30 to 28$ in near to medium term. Stochastic has just neared the mid zone around 40% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 31$ will bring to next support of 30$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude yesterday after sideway opening at 107.11$ and failed to cross the lower support of 107$ and trading was seen positive where on lower side it tested the higher level of 111$ and closing was also seen at 109.4$. Today after gap down opening at 108.5 failed to cross the higher resistance of 109.5 and is trading at 108.7$ where below 108.5$ is support if broken further down side move can be expected. Crossover above 110$ is must for further uptrend to continue where we wait for closing basis breakout for higher level of 115$. If sustain trading below 107$ will open the door for 105.5 to 103$ on lower side till the time 112$ is holding for the day. Stochastic is trading flat to negative in the mid zone where is turned negative and is expected to move towards the 25% where some more down side can be seen in the price in coming days.

Copper: Copper yesterday after the Flat opening at 7580 @ traded below the support level of 7550 and tested the low of 7500 and closing was just seen near 7533 level where immediate support is seen at 7500. If sustain trading is seen below 7500 on closing basis will open the door for 7400 and 7300 level soon. Today we look side way to negative trend to continue where will test 7300 level soon and only if the resistance of 7700 break will continue the uptrend where it will test 8200 – 8550 level immediately. Today expected to give opening near to 7500 and expected trading range will be 7600 to 7300 where selling is advise on every rise till the time resistance is holding at 8000. Stochastic has turned negative and is just drifted below overbought zone where it is just below 70% zone where further price action will bring it towards oversold zone.

Report By
xDirect India

Nifty & USD/INR Report 13th December, 2011

VIEW ON NIFTY

Nifty: Nifty yesterday after the gap up opening at 4901 failed to sustain at higher level above 4900 and after correction below 4870 it drifted further down where on lower side it tested the lower level of 4760 and closing was also seen near the days low at 4766 level. Today as the Asian market is trading negative and it’s expected that Nifty will open negative where on lower side will take immediate support of 4700 and sustain below 4700 will bring to 4550 to 4500 in near term, whereas on higher side its not expected to trade above 4800 and till the time its holding 4800 selling will continue in market. Today’s trading range will be 4800 resistance and support of 4700 and trading below 4700 will bring to 4660 – 4620 intraday. On lower side if sustain trading is seen below 4600 will open the door for 4510 to 4400 in medium term, whereas on higher side resistance is seen at 4800. Stochastic has drifted below overbought zone and is trading towards lower zone where further selling in the price is expected in near to medium term.

VIEW ON RUPEE

USD/INR: Rupee yesterday which open at the level of 52.25 per$ failed to trade below 52.2 and traded side way to upsdei for the day and breached the higher resistance of 52.8 and closing was seen above 53 per$ which was the near term highe on closing basis. Today opening is seen positive around 53.2per$ where it failed to cross the lower level of 53 per$ and is trading at 53.36$ nearing the resistance of 53.4per$. If sustain trading is seen above 53.4 will bring to higher level of 53.8per$ to 54.5 per$ which will be just the extension target of the rise what we have been seen in past days. Where on lower side it’s not expected to trade below 52.8 per$ on closing basis and any dip will be buying opportunity where on higher side if sustain trading above 53.4per$ will spark the higher target of 53.8 per$ to 54.5 per$ in near term. Stochastic has reverted from the lower zone with positive intersection and is trading at 60% zone with positive intersection where buying can be seen in near term.

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xDirect India

View on Major Currencies & Commodities 12th Dec, 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY

EUR/USD: EURO on Friday closing was seen at 1.3360 days low where on higher side it failed to cross the level of 1.3385 and was facing resistance at 1.3400 level. Today’s opening was seen at 1.3360 level and taking the higher resistance of 1.3380 is trading at 1.3342 and expect to trade negative in the range of 1.3380 and 1.3200 for the day. We are looking at some selling pressure in Euro from higher level where it’s not expected to trade above to cross 1.3400 and is expected to test 1.3200 – 1.3050 in medium terms. Stochastic which has given a down trend is nearing the mid zone below 30% moving to enter oversold zone indicating further selling to continue in near term.

GBP/USD: British Pound on Friday yesterday after opening was seen at 1.5655 traded negative and tested the lower level of 1.5630 and closing was seen at days low just near the support level of 1.5600 and in past few trading session we are looking in range bounce move with multiple support of 1.5580 on closing basis. Today the opening was seen flat around the level of 1.5645 and taking support of 1.5600 is trading at 1.5630 level and expected trading range will be 1.5750 – 1.5450. Further trading below 1.5600 will continue the down trend where 1.5500 to 1.5420 will be immediate target. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1.5725 and crossover above the same will move to test 1.5800 to 1.5900 again. Till the time 1.5725 is holding on closing basis short correction can be expected. Stochastic which were trading in mid zone with positive intersection is nearing the higher zone where some upside may be expected.

AUD/USD: Australian Dollar on Friday closing was seen at 1.0166 where on higher side resistance was faced at 1.0200 level and on lower side support was seen at 1.0150 level. Today after flat opening around 1.0166 it fails to cross the lower support of 1.0150 and is trading at 1.0180 where immediate resistance is seen at 1.0200 and if trading is seen below 1.0150 will move to test 0.9940 and 0.9900 immediately. On higher side sustain trading above immediate resistance level of 1.0300 will bring to 1.0500 level. Stochastic has given negative intersection just in the mid zone where down side move can be expected.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar on Friday after testing the lower support of 0.7635 reversals in price was seen where closing was seen at the higher level of 0.7750 levels. Today the opening was seen flat at 0.7750 and is trading negative at 0.77250 levels and trading in the range for the day where on higher side it’s not crossing 0.7780 and on lower side support is seen at days low of 0.7700 level, further trading below 0.7700 will open the door for 0.7640 to 0.7550 level in near term. We expected some range bound to down side move in market where 0.7850 is resistance and support is seen at 0.7630 and selling at rise is advice in near term. Stochastic has drifted below overbought zone where if price trade below support level correction may be seen of recent sharp rally.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen yesterday closing was seen at 77.71 after testing lower level of 77.6 where it’s trading positive and in range bound move where 78.5 was almost retested. Today opening was seen at 77.72 and is trading just above 77.65 near 77.7 levels where support is seen at 77.2 on lower side. Trading range can be seen for the day where 78.3 will be higher side resistance and support is seen at 77.2 on lower side. Stochastic has given negative intersection where side way move in price can be expected.


VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES
Gold: Gold on Friday which gave a closing near 1710$ tested the lower support of 1703$ where failed to cross the lower level of 1700$ and we have been waiting for 1680 as the support is broken. Today opening was seen flat around 1713$ and is trading at 1692$ where its trading below the support level of 1700$ and till the time 1700$ and 1705$ is holding we expect it to test 1680$ and 1660$ to be tested immediately. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1725$ where if it holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1680 and 1660$ on lower side and further trading below 1660 will continue the down trend on market where 1625 will be tested. On lower side it is expected to move further down if support of 1600 is broken and will test the lower support of 1640 to 1600$ support level in medium term. Stochastic which are trading in the mid zone is trading flat with positive intersection indicates if the resistance is holding and support are broken below 1700$ will continue to profit booking.

Silver: Silver on Friday where the lower support was taken at 31.3$ closing was seen near the days high of 32.3$ where it has been continuing it trading range of 33$ resistance and 31$ support., Today after the flat opening at 32.2$ it is trading at 31.57$ where on lower side support is taken at 31.4$ and next support is coming at 31$. If sustain trading is seen below 31.4$ will test the lower level of 31$ to 30.5$ immediately, where as only crossover above 33$ on closing basis will bring to 35$ next resistance level. On higher side only on closing basis above 35$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. On lower side immediate support is seen at 31$ where sustain trading below the same will bring to 30 to 28$ in near to medium term. Stochastic has just neared the mid zone around 40% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 31$ will bring to next support of 30$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude on Friday closing was seen at 108.7$ where on lower side support was taken at 108.3$. on higher side immediate resistance is seen at 109$ and till the time this resistance is holding we expect it to trade below 108$ and will move to test 106 – 102$ on lower side. Today after gap down opening at 1044 failed to cross the higher resistance of 109 and is trading negative at days low at 108.15$ where below 108$ is support if broken further down side move can be expected. Crossover above 109$ is must for further uptrend to continue where we wait for closing basis breakout for higher level of 115$. If sustain trading below 108$ will open the door for 105.5 to 103$ on lower side till the time 112$ is holding for the day. Stochastic is trading flat to negative in the mid zone where is turned negative and is expected to move towards the 25% where some more down side can be seen in the price in coming days.

Copper: Copper on Friday failed to cross the lower support of 7600 and reverted from 7616 and on higher side closing was seen at 7793 just below the resistance of 7800 level and its expected trading range will be 7900 resistance and support of 7600 where either side move will further confirm the trend in market. If sustain trading is seen below 7650 on closing basis will open the door for 7500 and 7300 level soon. Today we look side way to negative trend to continue where will test 7300 level soon and only if the resistance of 8000 break will continue the uptrend where it will test 8200 – 8550 level immediately. Today expected to give opening near to 7600 and expected trading range will be 7700 to 7300 where selling is advise on every rise till the time resistance is holding at 8000. Stochastic has turned negative and is just drifted below overbought zone where it is just below 70% zone where further price action will bring it towards oversold zone.

Report By
xDirect India

View on Major Currencies & Commodities 9th Dec, 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY

EUR/USD: EURO yesterday tested the lower level of 1.3288 and after testing the same short bounce was seen and closing was seen around the level of 1.3340 level just negative from the opening level. Today’s opening was seen at 1.3401 level and taking the higher support of 1.3380 is trading at 1.3342 and expect to trade negative in the range of 1.3380 and 1.3200 for the day. We are looking at some selling pressure in Euro from higher level where it’s not expected to trade above to cross 1.3400 and is expected to test 1.3200 – 1.3050 in medium terms. Stochastic which has given a down trend is nearing the mid zone below 30% moving to enter oversold zone indicating further selling to continue in near term.

GBP/USD: British Pound yesterday after opening was seen at 1.5706 traded negative and tested the lower level of 1.5607 and closing was seen at 1.5620 just near the support level of 1.5600 and in past few trading session we are looking in range bounce move with multiple support of 1.5580 on closing basis. Today the opening was seen flat around the level of 1.5625 and taking support of 1.5580 is trading at 1.5602 level and expected trading range will be 1.5750 – 1.5450. Further trading below 1.5600 will continue the down trend where 1.5500 to 1.5420 will be immediate target. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1.5725 and crossover above the same will move to test 1.5800 to 1.5900 again. Till the time 1.5725 is holding on closing basis short correction can be expected. Stochastic which were trading in mid zone with positive intersection is nearing the higher zone where some upside may be expected.

AUS/USD: Australian Dollar in the past few trading session is trading in the range of 1.0150 supports and resistance is seen at 1.0300 where yesterday traded below the support and tested the level of 1.0080 where down side is confirm. Today after flat opening around 1.0110 it fails to cross the higher resistance of 1.0120 and is trading at 1.0090 where immediate support is seen at 1.0050 and if trading is seen below 1.0050 will move to test 0.9940 and 0.9900 immediately. On higher side sustain trading above immediate resistance level of 1.0300 will bring to 1.0500 level. Stochastic has given negative intersection just in the mid zone where down side move can be expected.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar in the past few trading session is trading in the range where on lower side support which was seen at 0.7730 is broken and resistance was holding at 0.7850 level. Today the opening was seen flat at 0.7726 and is trading negative at 0.7660 level and trading in the range for the day where on higher side it’s not crossing 0.7730 and on lower side support is seen at days low of 0.7650 level, further trading below 0.7650 will open the door for 0.7610 to 0.7550 level in near term. We expected some range bound to down side move in market where 0.7850 is resistance and support is seen at 0.7630 and selling at rise is advice in near term. Stochastic has drifted below overbought zone where if price trade below support level correction may be seen of recent sharp rally.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen yesterday closing was seen at 77.71 after testing lower level of 77.6 where it’s trading positive and in range bound move where 78.5 was almost retested. Today opening was seen at 77.72 and is trading just above 77.65 near 77.7 levels where support is seen at 77.2 on lower side. Trading range can be seen for the day where 78.3 will be higher side resistance and support is seen at 77.2 on lower side. Stochastic has given negative intersection where side way move in price can be expected.VIEW ON


VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES

Gold: Gold yesterday’s which opened at 1742 and after testing the higher level of 1756 in the evening sharp reversal in prices were seen and it moved lower after the data and tested the support of 1700$ and just gave a closing near the level of 1706$. Today opening was seen flat around 1706$ and is trading at 1710$ where the resistance is seen at 1720$ and if it’s holding the resistance of 1720$ and trading below 1700$ will bring to 1680 – 1655$ on lower side. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1735$ where if it holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1700 and 1690$ on lower side and further trading below 1690 will confirm the down trend on market where1655 will be tested. On lower side it is expected to move further down if support of 1700 is broken and will test the lower support of 1640 to 1600$ support level in medium term. Stochastic which are trading in the mid zone is trading flat with positive intersection indicates if the resistance is holding and support are broken below 1700$ will continue to profit booking.

Silver: Silver yesterday which gave a gap down opening around 32.5$ was trading in the range in the Asian market where in the US session it tested the higher level of 33.2$ just above the resistance of 33$ and sharp selloff was seen in the market where on lower side it traded and tested the level of 31.38 and closing was also seen near 31.65$ level. Today after the flat opening at 31.57$ it is trading at 31.68$ where on lower side support is taken at 31.4$ and next support is coming at 31$. If sustain trading is seen below 31.4$ will test the lower level of 31$ to 30.5$ immediately, where as only crossover above 33$ on closing basis will bring to 35$ next resistance level. On higher side only on closing basis above 35$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. On lower side immediate support is seen at 31$ where sustain trading below the same will bring to 30 to 28$ in near to medium term. Stochastic has just neared the mid zone around 40% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 31$ will bring to next support of 30$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude yesterday which opened at the level of 109.35$ in the evening tested the higher level of 110.6$ and reverted shapely where on lower side tested the level of 107.3$ and closing as also near the day’s low. Today after positive opening near 107.5$ is nearing the resistance of 108 and is trading flat after yesterday fall where if trading below 107 will bring further down. Crossover above 109$ is must for further uptrend to continue where we wait for closing basis breakout for higher level of 115$. If sustain trading below 107$ will open the door for 105.5 to 103$ on lower side till the time 112$ is holding for the day. Stochastic is trading flat in the mod zone where is turned negative and is expected to move towards the 25% where some more down side can be seen in the price in coming days.

Copper: Copper yesterday after flat opening at 7790 failed to cross the resistance level of 7900 and tested the lower level of 7660 and closing was also near the day’s low. If sustain trading is seen below 7650 will open the door for 7500 and 7300 level soon. Today we look side way to negative trend to continue where will test 7300 level soon and only if the resistance of 8000 break will continue the uptrend where it will test 8200 – 8550 level immediately. Today expected to give opening near to 7600 and expected trading range will be 7700 to 7300 where selling is advise on every rise till the time resistance is holding at 8000. Stochastic has turned negative and is just drifted below overbought zone where it is just below 70% zone where further price action will bring it towards oversold zone.

Report By
xDirect India

View on Major Currencies & Commodities 1st December, 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY

EUR/USD: EURO yesterday was quite volatile where during US market after the news of World central bank providing liquidity in the financial market where share reversal in price was seen and where the trading was seen at 1.3330 shapely rose to 1.3530 level and closing was seen at 1.3440 level. Today’s opening was seen at 1.3440 level and taking the higher resistance of 1.3470 is trading at 1.3450 and expect to trade negative in the range of 1.3480 and 1.3320 for the day. We are looking at some selling pressure in Euro from higher level where it’s not expected to trade above to cross 1.3500 and is expected to test 1.3400 – 1.3320 in medium terms. Stochastic which has given a down trend is nearing the lower zone below 30% moving to enter oversold zone indicating further selling to continue in near term.

GBP/USD: British Pound yesterday after opening was seen at 1.5610 tested the lower support level of 1.5520 levels but failed to trade below 1.5480 and traded to test the higher level of 1.5770 and closing was just seen at 1.5700 levels. Today the opening was seen flat around the level of 1.5695 and taking resistance of 1.5720 is trading at 1.5680 level and expected trading range will be 1.5750 – 1.5600. Further trading below 1.5600 will continue the down trend where 1.5500 to 1.5420 will be immediate target. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1.5725 and crossover above the same will move to test 1.5800 to 1.5900 again. Till the time 1.5725 is holding on closing basis short correction can be expected. Stochastic which were trading in mid zone with positive intersection is nearing the higher zone where some upside may be expected.

AUD/USD: Australian Dollar yesterday which opened at 0.9999 levels tested the lower level support at 0.9960 and closing was seen at 1.0277 after testing the higher resistance at 1.0330 levels. Today after flat opening around 1.0277 it fails to cross the higher resistance of 1.0300 and is trading at 1.0210 where immediate support is seen at 1.0150 and if trading is seen below 1.0120 will move to test 1.0060 and 0.9960 immediately. On higher side sustain trading above immediate resistance level of 1.0300 will bring to 1.0500 level. Stochastic has given negative intersection just in the mid zone where down side move can be expected.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar yesterday which opens near the lower level of 0.7607 tested the support level of 0.7570 and closing was seen at 0.7800 levels just near the resistance level. Today the opening was seen flat at 0.7790 and is trading negative at 0.7780 level and trading in the range for the day where on higher side it’s not crossing 0.7830 and on lower side support is seen at days low of 0.7750 level, further trading below 0.7750 will open the door for 0.7710 to 0.7650 level in near term. We expected some range bound to down side move in market where 0.7850 is resistance and support is seen at 0.7750 and selling at rise is advice in near term. Stochastic are showing sign of reversal from the higher zone but yet not given negative intersection where if price trade below support level correction may be seen of recent sharp rally.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen yesterday closing was seen at 77.6 after testing lower level of 77.23 where it’s trading negative and in range bound move where 78.5 was almost retested. Today opening was seen at 77.6 and is trading just above 77.65 near 77.7 levels where support is seen at 77.2 on lower side. Trading range can be seen for the day where 78.3 will be higher side resistance and support is seen at 77.2 on lower side. Stochastic has given negative intersection where side way move in price can be expected.

Currency pair	Pivot	S3	S2	S1	R1	R2	R3	Trend Index
EUR/USD	1.3450	1.3390	1.3412	1.3430	1.3470	1.3490	1.3510	Down
GBP/USD	1.5695	1.5630	1.5650	1.5670	1.5715	1.5735	1.5770	Down
AUD/USD	1.0225	1.0095	1.0140	1.0179	1.0265	1.0310	1.0350	Down
NZD/USD	0.7780	0.7725	0.7742	0.7765	0.7804	0.7822	0.7844	Down
USD/JPY	77.62	77.30	77.39	77.53	77.76	77.85	77.99	Sideway

VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES

Gold: Gold yesterday’s was trading in the range of 1700$ support and resistance was seen at 1720 after testing the level of 1720 t\it tested 1711$ and after the news of Central bank increasing liquidity gold crossed the higher resistance of 1720$ and tested the higher level of 1750$ resistance level. Today opening was seen flat around 1748$ and is trading at 1746$ where the resistance is seen at 1750$ and if it’s holding the resistance of 1750$ and trading below 1745$ will bring to 1735 – 1710$ on lower side. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1750$ where if it holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1710 and 1700$ on lower side and further trading below 1700 will confirm the down trend on market. On lower side it is expected to move further down if support of 1700 is broken and will test the lower support of 1640 to 1600$ support level in medium term. Stochastic which are trading in the mid zone is trading flat with positive intersection indicates if the resistance is holding and support are broken below 1745$ will give short profit booking.

Silver: Silver yesterday after opening at 31.92$ tested the lower level of 31$ but failed to trade below 31$ and in the later part of the evening after the news reversal in price was seen and days high was posted at 32.91 and closing was seen near days high at 32.78. Today after the flat opening at 32.80$ it is trading at 32.66$ where on lower side support is taken at 32.5$ and next support is coming at 32$. If sustain trading is seen below 32.5$ will test the lower level of 31$ to 30.5$ immediately, where as only crossover above 33$ will bring to 35$ next resistance level. On higher side only on closing basis above 35$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. On lower side immediate support is seen at 31$ where sustain trading below the same will bring to 30 to 28$ in near to medium term. Stochastic has just neared the mid zone around 40% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 32$ will bring to next support of 30$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude yesterday after flat opening at 110.8$ fails to trade below 109.5$ and tested the higher level of 112$ and closing was seen at 110.2$ in negative zone. Today after positive opening near 110.55 is nearing the resistance of 111 and is trading at 110.8$ where some more upside is expected and may test 112$ immediately. Crossover above 112$ is must for further uptrend to continue where we wait for closing basis breakout for higher level of 115$. If sustain trading below 110$ will open the door for 108.5 to 106$ on lower side till the time 112$ is holding for the day. Stochastic is trading in the mid zone is trading flat and is expected to move towards the lower zone below 10% where some more selling can be seen in the price in coming days.

Copper: Copper yesterday after gap down opening at 7288 tested the lower support of 7250 and later part of the market sharp reversal in price was seen and it traded at 7955 days high and closing was seen at 7823 level. If sustain trading is seen below 7700 will open the door for 7500 and 7300 level soon. Today we look side way to negative trend to continue where will test 7300 level soon and only if the resistance of 8000 break will continue the uptrend where it will test 8200 – 8550 level immediately. Today expected to give opening near to 7800 and expected trading range will be 7900 to 7500 where selling is advise on every rise till the time resistance is holding at 8000. Stochastic have turned upside nearing overbought zone and is just below 70% zne where further price action if trade above 8000 will bring in overbought zone.

Commodity	Pivot	S3	S2	S1	R1	R2	R3	Trend Index
Gold	1746	1716	1731	1738	1752	1761	1776	Down
Silver	32.67	31.87	32.27	32.43	32.83	33.07	33.47	Down
Crude	110.78	109.78	110.28	110.57	111.07	111.28	111.78	Sideway
Copper	7854	7510	7682	7755	7926	8030	8200	Sideway

Report By:
xDirect India