Showing posts with label major currency. Show all posts
Showing posts with label major currency. Show all posts

Tuesday, 6 November 2012

Perturbing Priorities- Political Effects on The Market

Who Is To Win- A chart represented depicting
 the chances of winning : Barack Obama v/s Mitt Romney 

It is such that 'The Betters and Bookies' throughout all forms of market has discounted Obama's win making him President for the Second Term. ALL in ALL there are more positive aspect that is being portrayed on his win that would push markets overall higher. The so called opposition party who is against Obama (Mitt Romney) has instilled more fear than confidence among small businessman and even in the market as a whole and as such they believe it would be better if the US economic stand (which in a way showed signs of Improvement) is laid in the hands of a Democrat.

The other form where Mitt Romney (Opposition Party) is not being favored is because he disowns quantitative easing and has sworn to sack the Federal Chairman for his decision for more stimulus spending in the past. However what actually threatens the Market as a whole is Romney’s stand against Chinese Currency de-valuation and would brand China as a Currency Manipulator. Many such stands against a Huge Economy such as China could spark Trade war against the developed nation that would mainly start with the Chinese Dumping the US Treasuries, resulting into a major risk for US recovery.

There are many reasons as to why Obama is favored to win this election but there always a factor for too close to call and as such that may go up against optimistic stand in the Capital Markets...

We wouldn't be ill-advising for traders who think market would move higher ...however what is important is that we make a stand after proper Market behavior is determined.


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Monday, 20 August 2012

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY- 20th August, 2012

EUR/USD

EUR/USD 
We had asked all of our traders to carry forward till Monday (today) on their Short EUR/USD from 1.2375
and Target hit at 1.2290; however which has once again bounced on the upside. However we are still playing on the range and therefore would look at the same levels of resistance in order to go for short levels…however we would be looking for 1.2410/1.2415 for a breach to affirm an upside in the same. Nevertheless we would be initiating short positions at levels around 1.2380 till 1.2390 levels for its downside of 1.2330/1.2335. Only a breach below of 1.2320 would then push it lower to 1.2290 and then towards 1.2255 levels. Considering this is a Holiday with minimal data no major movement could be expected in European Session until the US session opens up, with S&P 500 still holding its resistance on the topside.
However if selling appears to be solid a break of 1.2260/1.2255 would indefinitely push it to 1.2215/1.2202 levels for
today. Nevertheless if sideways movements continue then we would be sticking on the levels instated.

Mode: SIDEWAYS Supports:: 1.2325, 1.225   5 Resistance: 1.2405, 1.2480.

GBP/USD


GBP/USD:

GBP/USD too seems to be playing range bound, however at one stage seemed quite weak after is loss  1.5685/80 levels on Friday and hence we are looking that its trends on the upside be capped till 1.5745 levels. We would be therefore looking for opportunities to go short at levels around 1.5730/1.5745 levels and would negate our downside only if the levels of 1.5752/1.5460 are breached strongly to test its next resistance at 1.5775/1.5780 levels. Therefore any upside should be seen to test 1.5730 levels to go short but should hold it strongly to test 1.5690 followed by 1.5665/60 levels.

Mode: Bearish Supports::      1.5680, 1.5655, 1.5625 Resistance: 1.5750, 1.5782




AUD/USD
AUD/USD: 
On Friday we had asked all our Traders To enter-into Long in AUD/USD at 1.0410/1.0412 levels despite our Positional Call given since August 14th at 1.0560/1.0540 levels and hence achieving our 1st objective around 1.0450/1.0440 levels. We would be covering our long Calls given on Friday over here as the Hourly Charts are well overbought but would be re-instating longs again at 1.0420/1.0408 levels. The levels of around 1.0380 is quite crucial in order to negate the bounce in AUD/USD as the break below would emancipate huge selling in the market for levels to tests 1.0330/1.0315 levels. However considering this would be a sideways day we would be exiting our long calls at 1.0450 levels and hence re-instating longs only if 1.0408 levels are held strongly.

Mode: SIDEWAYS/BEARISH    
Supports:: 1.0405, 1.0378, 1.0330 Resistance: 1.0450, 1.0500, 1.0520







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Wednesday, 1 August 2012

Nifty & USD/INR Report 1st August, 2012


Daily Nifty Analysis


Nifty Analysis_01.08.2102_xDirect India
Indian equities ended the volatile session higher with some buying seen in index heavy weights. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has come out with its first quarter Monetary Policy review, albeit policy stance for this meet is in line with general consensus. Again, RBI has maintained its status quo stance and kept the rates unchanged and cut SLR by 1%. At the close, the benchmark 30-share index, BSE Sensex gained 92.50 points or 0.54% at 17,236.18 with 17 components registering rise. Meanwhile, the broad based NSE Nifty climbed by 29.20 points or 0.56% at 5,229.00 with 30 components posting rise.

There is an Immediate Resistance at 5,24040-5,260 levels on the upside, expect selling pressure to continue at higher levels unless index manages to sustain and close above it. The breaks of crucial support of 5,210-5,190 levels expect declines to 5,140 & 5,120 levels in the near term.



View on Indian Rupee





USD/INR Analysis_01.08.2012_xDirect India
The Indian Rupee extended losses on Monday falling to its lowest levels in almost a week led by weak cues across the Asian and European stocks markets and post the acute drop in the Euro on Friday which slipped to its two year lows below the 1.2300 level. Broad weakness in the domestic stock markets also put pressure on the local currency which finished with a loss of a percentage yesterday. It seems even though a slight positive reaction in the European currencies did not aid any boost to risk appetite neither towards appreciation to INR value. We therefore require a more of a fundamental trigger that would enable an upside in the same.



The USDINR pair seems to hold its daily Fibonacci support at 55.74 and if it continues to do so then we are looking at 55.92, 56.08 and then 56.14.
However a break of intraday low which is also the support (Fibonacci) then 55.65 followed by 55.50 would be tested. We keep our bias on the upside.

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Friday, 6 July 2012

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY – 6th July, 2012

View On Major Currencies:



"xDirect India's View On Major Currencies"
View On EUR/USD_xDirect India_06.07.2012

EUR/USD: The US Dollar Index rose for a second consecutive session Thursday, though this climb is still lacking for conviction (traders would use the word ‘momentum’). Taking a look at the fundamental backdrop, general risk trends tell the story. While the S&P 500 slid over the same session – boosting the greenback’s safe haven appeal – the slip follows a string of consecutive advances and did little to pull us back from a two-month high. That said, the market’s ability to hold out hope for another round of supernatural support financial support is quickly drying up. With the ECB passing up the opportunity to fortify the questionable programs trumpeted at the EU Summit, the reality of extremely low rates of return and growing threat of volatility has grown significantly brighter. Perhaps most worrisome of all for risk trends, policy authorities may be signaling their limits with a collective trend away from outright stimulus and toned-down scope of those programs actually pursued.
Mode: Bearish Supports: 1.2350, 1.2287   Resistance: 1.2433, 1.2480, 1.2525





GBP/USD: The Bank of England’s June policy decision – at which they barely avoided an increase to QE – set the stage for this week’s meeting. As expected, the group decided to increase their gilts purchases by 50 billion sterling to bring the program up to 375 billion. Yet, this is neither significantly detrimental nor encouraging to the pound. The stimulus effort by the BoE is still relatively small (compared to the Fed and ECB) and it would ultimately do little to prevent the spread of the EU crisis across the English Channel. We saw cable fell more on the ECB than BoE.
 Mode: Bearish Supports: 1.5484, 1.5450 And 1.5409 Resistance: 1.5550 and 1.5596






USD/JPY: Retail forex speculators remain extremely net-long the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) against the Japanese Yen, underlining the strength of the broader USDJPY downtrend. We would normally take a contrarian bias to retail trading crowds, and that would imply the USDJPY stands to fall further. Yet it is difficult to reconcile a US Dollar-bearish bias in light of significant developments in other USD pairs—particularly as we believe the EURUSD stands to decline further.
Since last week total long interest has fallen 13 percent while shorts are 7 percent higher. When crowds are net-long yet are no longer buying, our SSI data warns of a potential shift in trend or sideways consolidation. Our USDJPY bias is subsequently neutral in light of sentiment shifts.

Mode: Bullish Supports: 79.70, 79.55 and 78.90 Resistance: 80.20, 80.55 and 80.85



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Tuesday, 26 June 2012

Nifty & USD/INR Report- 26th June, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

xDirect India's Nifty Analysis_26.06.2012
Benchmark indices ended weak erasing early gains, as investors were not impressed by the RBI’s measures to stem the rupee’s fall and the government did not announce any reforms as pledged last week. RBI enhanced the FII limit in G-Secs to $20 billion from $15 billion. It also allowed Indian companies in infrastructure to borrow through the ECB route up to $10 bn. The low amount of liquidity would obviously take away volatility and volumes which eventually turned out to be a negative session for the Nifty. Even the global markets were quite sticky with risk aversion combined with overselling kept the price movements range bound with the US Dollar just bouncing on every dips.

With the sudden drop in the market being witnessed yesterday, the government has announced today that it would take necessary steps to stem the Rupee depreciation; nevertheless these comments came in futile as global uncertainty has indeed gripped on the bull traders to resume on their trading with INR still hovering at its all-time low levels. For today we have a light on the counter from Euro Zone and UK, but US Consumer Confidence being the most important. However the Indian markets would trade sideways with supports coming in at interim levels of 5095 levels (Rising trend line). Followed by 5050 (50% retracement) and then 5023 (Falling trend line). Resistance is seen towards 5140, 5178 levels; however considering bearish trend has been commenced we believe Nifty has little chance of building momentum over 5180 levels for the week.

View on Indian Rupee

xDirect India's USD/INR Analysis_26.06.2012
The Indian Rupee gained sharply in yesterday’s trade bolstered by the expectations of big-bang policy measures from the Government of India and the RBI. The Rupee opened sharply higher and continued rising to make a high near the 56.3750 level. Though it weakened from day’s high and ended at 57.01 to the US Dollar after the measures  introduced by the RBI disappointed markets.

The main step announced was to increase in the cap on foreign investment in Indian government debt  to  $20  billion  from  $15  billion.  The government also reduced the minimum period investors need to hold some bonds to three years from five years, making them more attractive to foreign funds.

The Indian Rupee is expected to trade in a tight spot where in, where on the upside the resistance is seen towards 57.42 (Fibonacci extension) followed by 57.65 levels. Supports come in at 56.40 (yesterday session low). There might be some sort of positives seen in the market considering the constant selling but we believe the bear trend would resume considering the ill-liquid FOMC state,, followed by the multiple downgrades. For today however we would want the US Consumer Confidence to give some amount of boost as yesterday’s housing sales marked good numbers, its best in 3 years.


For today the market is expected to be range bound however, where European session may mark some amount of swings in the global market which may give certain movement in the currency pair.

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xDirect India
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Sunday, 10 June 2012

Nifty & USD/INR Report, 11th June, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

Nifty Analysis_11.06.2012_xDirect India
The downside on the Indian equity markets was capped and moreover also sentiments in the global markets aided the Nifty to end the week on a higher note, wherever an upside was witnessed to its biggest levels since March end-April beginning week.  Investors in the equity market seem to discount the factors of a rate cut by the RBI, which was also coupled with solid gains on the infrastructure sectors as PM meets other cabinet ministers to plan out an action initiating developments in infra region.
The 30-share index, Sensex surged 753.71 points, or 4.72% to 16,718.87 for the week ended June 8, 2012. On the other hand, the broad based NSE Nifty added 226.75 points, or 4.68%, to 5,068.35 during the week.
The Friday’s close ended the price action over and above the 5070 mark, which has now aided the price to open gap-up on the back of strong export figures and revived improved levels in imports, which has lifted market sentiments that world’s largest consumer has regained composure. Moreover the conference call among Euro Zone Finance Ministers also decided to provide bailout package to Spanish Banks.

Today we expect the positive note continue furthermore on the back of a follow through on the positive news from China and Euro Zone. Opening above 5084 mark (50% retracement) would now turn out as its support levels followed by 5060- 5070. The price action is poised to touch 5150 levels in today’s session followed by 5178 (Horizontal line resistance)

View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR Analysis_11.06.2012_xDirect India
The Indian rupee lost v/s the US dollar on Friday despite firm move in the domestic share market. On Friday, the rupee suffered from falls in global risk assets on the back of the lackk of clarity on potential U.S. monetary stimulus, worries China will post weak data on Saturday, and concerns about Spanish banking woes.
Today, the sentiment is positive in the global market with stock markets, the euro and oil rallied after less bad Chinese data then expected along with a Spain’s bank bailout. The market welcomed the weekend news that Spain secured a EUR100 billion ($125 billion) loan to bolster its banking system, which makes the country the fourth and largest Euro Zone economy to be rescued by its euro-zone partners.
On Saturday, China released economic data which showed a weakening economy, but was not as bad as some expected. The PBoC made a surprise cut to interest rates ahead of the data, which was taken as a signal by the market that May’s figures were going to be very bad. As per data, China’s trade surplus was $18.7bn in May, a touch bigger than its $18.4bn surplus in April. Industrial production nudged up to a 9.6 per cent rise from 9.3 per cent in April. Inflation receded to 3.0 per cent year-on on-year in May, the lowest in two years and down from 3.4 per cent in April. Today, the Japan’s Nikkei climbed 2% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gained 2.1% and Korea’s Kospi was 1.7% higher. Singapore’s Strait Times Index rose 1.5% and the China Shanghai Composite was up 0.3%.

Immediate support is at 55.30 and 55.10 levels. Intraday resistance is at 55.43 and then at 55.55 levels. Any pullback towards the resistance is ideal for selling.

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Wednesday, 6 June 2012

Nifty & USD/INR Report – 7th June, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

 India’s benchmark indices rose 2.7% on Wed, posting their biggest daily percentage gain since early January 2012 that was boosted by hopes of a rate cut by the RBI. Expectations that the ECB will announce more stimulus measures to resolve Euro Zone’s financial problems also contributed to the gains in global markets.

Market has moved upp in the expectation of policy actions both at India and International levels. We anticipate market may test resistance at around 5050-5075 and will need actual policy actions from various governments to cross this level.
Market  sentiments  were  positive on  the announcement from the European Central Bank issuing a schedule for an additional long term refinancing operation (LTRO) as insurance against further flight of banks accounts in Europe. Rising hope of policy rate cut by RBI, expected positive outcome from upcoming realty and construction sector also moved on the back of cuts in rates from the RBI.
Nifty has breached the resistance of 4965 levels, where decisively it portrays a bullish pattern. Only a further trigger should bee provided from various governments in order for a clean upside rally in the equity markets. Index is likely to cross 5,000 mark to test levels at 5,060 followed by 5,120 levels. As positions on net buyers have increased the support of 4960 should be labeled as an opportunity to go long, a break of which 4938 should be held as intraday support. Nevertheless the breach of the same should negate the bullish sentiments across the market.


View On Indian Rupee


USD/INR_07.06.2012_xDirect India
The Indian Rupee advanced for the third straight session against the Greenback led by improving risk appetite amidst increasing hopes of stimulus from larger economies. Gains in the domestic stock markets too aided the strength in the local currency which has been able to stay well above the record low of 56.52 hit on last Thursday.

Yesterday, the partially convertible Rupee ended at 55.36 to the USD after trading in a range between 55.61 on the upside to 55.15 on the downside and ended the day at 55.35.
The Indian Rupee is expected to trade positively today, tracking the strong gains in the Asian stocks and the uptick in the Euro which pushing the Dollar index lower. Nevertheless a rate cut from RBI should actually pave for depreciation in Indian Rupee; however as equity markets rally’s across the board the depreciation would be negated by boosting the strength in the Indian Rupee.

As London session begins we expect a further upside in the Indian rupee, where the USDINR would be poised to test the lower end of the bull trend channel at 54.80 levels and only a breach and close below it should provide leeway for 54.35 levels (horizontal line support coupled with June1st low). On the resistance front, yesterday’s high of 55.61 should negate the downside in the pair and should be considered as intraday upper resistance.


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Thursday, 31 May 2012

Nifty & USD/INR Report 1st June, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis

Nifty Analysis_1.6.2012_xDirect India
The Indian markets dipped and closed in a dismal state considering poor reports from 1st quarter GDP numbers of FY13,, coupled with persistent weakness in the global markets has indeed kept the pressure on the risk appetite among investors to initiate their buying .
The losses were led mainly from the Auto ancillary, Banking,, Capital Goods and metal Stocks. The Index opened up itself on the gap
down, as negativity started looming among the local traders on the back of bloating fears of Greece’s exit from Euro Zone. Nevertheless the  bear market just happened to par its losses but only to a certain extent, as inflation numbers reported from the Euro Zone came in better than expected; however more than a catalyst run we anticipate a certain pullback was witnessed due to continuous selling being made on the Indian equity market.
For today, the market does have a potential to go  down  even  further,  considering  the persistent depreciation in the Indian Rupee
that still chokes on the investors; nevertheless with US employment data to be reported some sort of consolidation could be ascertained considering the global markets would now strategize based on the catalyst reported today.

Nifty bounced from the support levels of 4870 and closed above 4900 levels at 4924. Interim resistance is witnessed at 4970-4985 levels, where a fresh bout of selling could be expected however, if the rally persists, which may prompt by bringing new buyers where one can expect levels to test 5047 and 5085 levels.




View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR_1.6.2012_xDirect India
The US markets closed in flat; however considering the US Dollar’s persistent strength would push INR higher; however we anticipate a certain amount of pullback could be expected in the US Dollar that should preserve the pair to once again record a new all-time high.
Globally, Euro has extended its losses to mark its fresh lows in 2012 and dropped near the July 2010 lows on sustained weakness from the Spanish and Greek financial and political system. The EURUSD slipped in late trade yesterday to close more than 1% lower at 1.2365 levels, against the USD while it fell more than 1.6% against the Yen to finish at  97.70. Markets are concerned regarding the Spain’s struggle to rescue its troubled banks while additional pressure emerged after Italy sold less than its maximum target at a debt auction.

Intraday Outlook:
The Indian Rupee is expected to continue its pullback from the high of 56.50, to test its supports at 55.58 (23.60% retracement from low of 52.68 to recent high of 56.50).. Resistance at intraday high of 56.27 would be maintained and only a break should push it higher towards 56.68 (Fibonacci expansions)


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Wednesday, 30 May 2012

Nifty & USD/INR Report 30th May, 2012


Daily Nifty Analysis

Nifty Analysis_30.5.2012-xDirect India
The initial trading on the Indian markets that opened in thee positive note, nevertheless steamed out its positive up move, as the
benchmark index closed in flat in yesterday’s session. The strength in the US Dollar persisted, where every dips in the same is turning out to be an opportunity for the traders to buy on it. Moreover the month end buying on the US Dollar from the importers has actually led further depreciation in the Indian Rupee that has choked on the positive move in the Indian markets.
The back-to-back blows on risk aversion were provided on the back of subdued US Consumer Confidence (May) that slid to 64.9 from its expectations of 70.0 moreover with fresh downgrade on Spanish Banks; the risk appetite had to dissolve among bull-traders itself.
For today the markets may remain under pressure,  however if  certain amount  of pullback on the US Dollar is witnessed then the negative verse of Nifty could be gripped eminently.

Nifty closed below the crucial 5000 mark closing marginally below the 4,990 mark. However the support is maintained at 4920 levels for the intraday and a break should enable the price action to test 4875 levels.
Resistance is maintained at 4960-4975 levels and only a close above the 5000 mark should trigger a bull rally.

View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR_30.5.2012_xDirect India

The Indian Rupee fell on Tuesday, breaking a three day winning streak, as stronger Dollar in the international markets coupled with Dollar demand from oil firms to meet their month end import commitments inflicted trading sentiment locally. The downtick in the Indian Stock markets from day’s high too weighed the trading momentum heavily.
Intra-day Outlook
Spot USDINR: The home currency is expected to trade weak today imputed by the weakness in the Euro. EURUSD trading at two year low is also putting pressure on almost all Asian markets currencies in the early morning on Wednesday. Volatility is expected to be high specifically in the afternoon trade as markets will look for fresh cues from the European markets.
A certain downside could be expected considering  the data’ss reported yesterday would be priced in; moreover some amount of profit booking could be witnessed, as the gap has been filled.
Resistance at 56.30 followed by 56.38 would be watched.
Support at 55.90 would be well kept however if we see a breach then intraday low of 55.65 would be tested.


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xDirect India
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Monday, 28 May 2012

Nifty & USD/INR Report 29th May, 2012

Daily Nifty Analysis


Nifty Analysis_29th May_xDirectIndia
The Indian markets settled on a higher note yesterday, as global markets nevertheless gave in favorable cues that aided Nifty to break
above the pivotal 4,950 mark. Even though the afternoon session there some profit booking witnessed on the counter, positive movement on the European market instilled that the Indian markets remain in the positive side. Among Industrial Sectors Banking topped the performance that prompted buying in the market, where the Benchmark SENSEX added 199 points closing the day at 16416.84, meanwhile Nifty too closing above 65 points closing in at 4985.65 points.

The resistance at 4957 has been breached, where decisively has portrayed a bullish signal in the same. The resistance at 5032 followed by 5078 could be tested in coming sessions; nevertheless for today the positive moves could be a bit subdued marking the movements flat in the same.

Supports remain at levels around 4965-4940, if holds strongly then we anticipate another bout of buying may be witnessed to close above 5000 mark

View on Indian Rupee

USD/INR_29th May_xDirectIndia
The correction in the US Dollar seemed to have come in a good time, boosting the strength on the Rupee that pulled away from its all-time low of 56.38.
The selling on the US Dollar also came on the back of renewed appetite among traders overall that started the week with pulling away from the oversell region; however we still anticipate the trends are still uncertain and therefore the trading and movement for the week would remain flat, as media-favorite Non   Farm   Payrolls   and  US employment numbers would be in store for a trend to be showcased for the near future.

 

Intra-day Outlook

Spot USDINR:
Despite a small showdown of INR appreciation has been witnessed for the past 3 session, we still keep our bias towards upside for the pair, as the support of 54.90 would be held strongly in the spot market. The supports on the interim are seen towards 55.53 (23.60% retracement from the low of 52.668 May 8th to the recent high of 56.379 on May 24th) followed by 55.05 and then 54.90 (both resistance turned support). Today the movement would be quite as traders decide on the catalyst to decide on its next trade strategies.

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Monday, 26 December 2011

View on Major Currencies & Commodities 26th Dec, 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY

EUR/USD: EURO on Friday on Friday which opened at 1.3050 was trading in the range of 1.3100 as resistance and support is seen at 1.3020 where range bound move as seen. Today as the European and US market are closed due to Christmas its expected to be no movement in market and will be waiting for the week to get over for next trend in market. So its advisable to stay away from the market and rather enjoy the year end. Stochastic are turned negative and nearing the oversold zone and is expected to trade side way to negative after opening after the Christmas.

GBP/USD: British Pound on Friday which opened at 1.5675 failed to trade above 1.5700 and after testing the lower level of 1.5585 closing was seen near days low at 1.5588 level. Today as the European and US market are closed due to Christmas its expected to be no movement in market and will be waiting for the week to get over for next trend in market. So its advisable to stay away from the market and rather enjoy the year end. Stochastic are turned negative and nearing the oversold zone and is expected to trade side way to negative after opening after the Christmas.

AUD/USD: Australian Dollar on Fridays after the opening at 1.0129 was trading in the range of 1.0200 as resistance and support was seen at 1.0120 and after the range bound move trading was seen positive at 1.0148 level. Today as the European and US market are closed due to Christmas its expected to be no movement in market and will be waiting for the week to get over for next trend in market. So its advisable to stay away from the market and rather enjoy the year end. Stochastic are turned negative and nearing the oversold zone and is expected to trade side way to negative after opening after the Christmas.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar on Friday after opening at 0.7743 failed to trade above 0.7760 and on lower side it tested the level of 0.7715 where 0.7700 was support level. Today as the European and US market are closed due to Christmas its expected to be no movement in market and will be waiting for the week to get over for next trend in market. So its advisable to stay away from the market and rather enjoy the year end. Stochastic are turned negative and nearing the oversold zone and is expected to trade side way to negative after opening after the Christmas.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen on Friday after opening at 78.16 failed to trade above 78.2 and on lower side support was seen at 78 and closing was just near the support level. Today as the European and US market are closed due to Christmas its expected to be no movement in market and will be waiting for the week to get over for next trend in market. So its advisable to stay away from the market and rather enjoy the year end. Stochastic are turned negative and nearing the oversold zone and is expected to trade side way to negative after opening after the Christmas.

VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES

Gold: Gold on Friday after taking support of 1600$ as trading in the range whereon higher side it failed to cross 1615$ and support was seen at 1600$ as the International market are having holiday its expected to trading in the range where not much move is expected. Today opening was seen flat around 1605$ and is trading at 1604$ where it’s trading in the range of 1610$ resistance on closing basis and support of 1598$ on closing basis, and either side move on closing basis will confirm the trend. In short term time frame some range bound move is expected where 1620$ is resistance and 1570 will be the support level in medium term. On higher side at 1620$ is crossed will bring to 1640$, where as if its holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1540$ on lower side and further trading below 1540$ will continue the down trend on market where 1440$ will be tested in medium term. Stochastic has just popped out above the overbought zone where short room is getting generating before the next down side move which is expected if sustain trading below 1600 on closing basis.

Silver: Silver on Friday after opening at 29.06$ support as taken at 29$ and after testing the higher level of 29.42 closing was seen flat around the level of 29.05$. Today after the opening at 29.08$ trading range is expected of 29.2$ resistance and support will be seen at 29$ and sustain trading below the same will give move towards 28.8 – 28.5 immediately, as the support is holding strongly in past few trading session. Whereas further trading below 28$ will bring to 26$ – 24$ in near to medium term. On higher side only on closing basis above 30 - 31$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. Stochastic has just neared the oversold zone around 20% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 28$ will bring to next support of 24$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude on Friday after the opening at 107.79$ was trading in the range where on higher side it failed to cross the level of 108.5$ and on lower side support was seen at 107$ and closing was just positive at 107.97$. Today as the European and US market are closed due to Christmas its expected to be no movement in market and will be waiting for the week to get over for next trend in market. So its advisable to stay away from the market and rather enjoy the year end. Stochastic has near he overbought zone where some side wait and watch for the week end is advise.

Copper: Copper after the positive opening at 7455 after taking support of 4730 traded positive and tested the level of 7500 and closing was also seen at days high. Today as the European and US market are closed due to Christmas its expected to be no movement in market and will be waiting for the week to get over for next trend in market. So its advisable to stay away from the market and rather enjoy the year end. Stochastic has near he overbought zone where some side wait and watch for the week end is advise.

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xDirect India


Tuesday, 20 December 2011

View on Major Currencies & Commodities 20th Dec 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY

EUR/USD: EURO yesterday after the opening at 1.3035 failed to trade above 1.3050 and on lower side it tested the level of 1.2982 where 1.2980 was the support taken and closing was also seen near the days low at 1.2995 level. Today’s opening was seen at 1.2996 level and taking the higher resistance of 1.3030 is trading at 1.3010 and expect to trade negative in the range of 1.3050 and 1.2900 for the day. We are looking at some selling pressure in Euro from higher level where it’s not expected to trade above and cross 1.3050 and is expected to test 1.2850 in medium terms. Stochastic which has given a down trend is nearing the mid zone below 30% moving to enter oversold zone indicating further selling to continue in near term.

GBP/USD: British Pound yesterday after the opening at 1.5523 was trading in the range where on higher side resistance was seen at 1.5541 and on lower side support was seen at 1.5466 level where closing was seen negative 1.5495 level. Today the opening was seen flat around the level of 1.5496 and taking support of 1.5480 is trading at 1.5540 level and expected trading range will be 1.5580 – 1.5450. Further trading below 1.5450 will continue the down trend where 1.5400 to 1.5350 will be immediate target. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1.5580 and crossover above the same will move to test 1.5650 to 1.5750 again. Till the time 1.5580 is holding on closing basis short correction can be expected. Stochastic which were trading in mid zone with positive intersection is nearing the higher zone where some upside may be expected.

AUD/USD: Australian Dollar yesterday after the opening was seen at 0.9920 failed to trade positive and tested the lower level of 0.9880 and closing was also seen near the lower level of 0.9894 level. Today after positive opening around 0.9893 it fails to cross higher resistance of 1.0000 and is trading at 0.9940 where immediate resistance is seen at 0.9950 and if trading is seen below 0.9900 will move to test 0.9840 and 0.9800 immediately. On higher side sustain trading above immediate resistance level of 0.9980 will bring to 1.0100 level. Stochastic has given negative intersection just in the mid zone where down side move can be expected.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar yesterday after the opening at 0.7634 traded negative and tested the lower level of 0.7940 and closing was also seen negative at 0.7548 levels. Today the opening was seen sideway at 0.7549 taking support of 0.7500 it is trading at 0.7585 levels where on higher side resistance is seen at 0.7650 and till the time its holding the same selling at rise is expected and will test 0.7440 to 0.7350 in near term. We expected some range bound to down side move in market where 0.7500 is resistance and support is seen at 0.7350 and selling at rise is advice in near term. Stochastic has drifted below overbought zone where if price trade below support level correction may be seen of recent sharp rally.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen yesterday closing was seen at 77.97 after testing lower level of 77.62 where it’s trading positive and in range bound move where 78.5 was almost retested. Today opening was seen at 77.9 and is trading just above 77.65 near 77.86 levels where support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Trading range can be seen for the day where 78.3 will be higher side resistance and support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Stochastic has given positive intersection where side way move in price can be expected.

VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES

Gold: Gold yesterday was trading in the tight range where on higher side it failed to sustain above 1608$ where 1610$ was the resistance and on lower side it took a support of 1583 where 1580 was support level. Today opening was seen positive around 1593$ and is trading at 1598$ where it’s trading near the resistance level of 1605$ and till the time 1605$ is holding we expect it to test 1580$ and 1540$ to be tested immediately. In short term time frame some range bound move is expected where 1620$ is resistance and 1570 will be the support level. On higher side at 1605$ is crossed will bring to 1620$, where as if its holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1540$ on lower side and further trading below 1540$ will continue the down trend on market where 1470$ will be tested. Stochastic has just popped out above the overbought zone where short room is getting generating before the next down side move which is expected if sustain trading below 1580 on closing basis.

Silver: Silver yesterday after positive opening at 29.72 failed to cross the higher resistance of 30$ and tested the lower level of 28.66 where closing was seen at days low of 28.74 level. Today after the opening at 28.75 it has taken the previous days low as support of 28.66 and is trading at 28.98 $ where immediate resistance is seen at 29$ and if fails to cross the higher resistance and sustain trading below 28.8 will bring to 28 $ in near term, where as further trading below 28 will bring to 26 – 24 in near to medium term. On higher side only on closing basis above 31$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. Stochastic has just neared the oversold zone around 20% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 28$ will bring to next support of 24$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude yesterday after the opening was seen at 102.8 has taken support @ 102.2 and reversal was seen in the price where on higher side it tested the level of 104.55 level and closing was seen at 103.45 level. Today after he opening was seen gap up around the level of 104.1 tested the level of 104.44 failing to cross the previous days high and is trading around the level of 103.9 days low where its expected to trade and over to test 103.2 and 102.5 immediately, further trading below 102.5 will being to 100.5 and 98 in near term. Crossover above 105$ is must for further uptrend to continue where we wait for closing basis breakout for higher level of 111$. If sustain trading below 102.5$ will open the door for 101 to 98$ on lower side till the time 105$ is holding for the day. Stochastic is trading flat to negative in the mid zone where is turned negative and is expected to move towards the 15% where some more down side can be seen in the price in coming days.

Copper: Copper after the gap down opening at 7230 was trading in the range where on lower side support was seen at 7200 and on higher side resistance was seen at 7300 where closing was flat at 7250 level. Today we look side way to negative trend to continue where will test 7200 level soon and only if the resistance of 7400 break will continue the uptrend where it will test 7150 – 7050 level immediately. Stochastic has turned negative and is just drifted below oversold zone where it is just below 20% zone where further price action will bring it towards oversold zone.

Report By
xDirect India

Monday, 19 December 2011

View on Major Currencies & Commodities 19th Dec, 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY


EUR/USD: EURO on Friday was trading I the range of 1.2995 lower supports and on higher side resistance was seen at 1.3085 and closing was flat to positive at 1.3035 level. Today’s opening was seen at 1.3030 level and taking the higher resistance of 1.3050 is trading at 1.3000 and expect to trade negative in the range of 1.3050 and 1.2800 for the day. We are looking at some selling pressure in Euro from higher level where it’s not expected to trade above and cross 1.3150 and is expected to test 1.2800 in medium terms. Stochastic which has given a down trend is nearing the mid zone below 30% moving to enter oversold zone indicating further selling to continue in near term.

GBP/USD: British Pound on Friday was trading in the range of 1.5480 lower side support and resistance was seen at 1.5555 level. Today the opening was seen flat around the level of 1.5225 and taking support of 1.5460 is trading at 1.5490 level and expected trading range will be 1.5550 – 1.5400. Further trading below 1.5450 will continue the down trend where 1.5400 to 1.5350 will be immediate target. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1.5550 and crossover above the same will move to test 1.5800 to 1.5900 again. Till the time 1.5550 is holding on closing basis short correction can be expected. Stochastic which were trading in mid zone with positive intersection is nearing the higher zone where some upside may be expected.

AUS/USD: Australian Dollar on Friday which open at 0.9980 failed totrade below 0.9890 and after testing the higher level of 1.0025 clsoing was seen at 0.9965 level. Today after positive opening around 0.9986 it fails to cross higher resistance of 1.0000 and is trading at 0.9920 where immediate resistance is seen at 0.9950 and if trading is seen below 0.9900 will move to test 0.9840 and 0.9800 immediately. On higher side sustain trading above immediate resistance level of 0.9980 will bring to 1.0100 level. Stochastic has given negative intersection just in the mid zone where down side move can be expected.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar on Friday opening at 0.7527 failed to trade below 0.7500 and after testing the higher level of 0.7650 closing was seen at 0.7600 level. Today the opening was seen positive at 0.7635 taking support of 0.7570 it is trading at 0.7595 level where on higher side resistance is seen at 0.7650 and till the time its holding the same selling at rise is expected and will test 0.7440 to 0.7350 in near term. We expected some range bound to down side move in market where 0.7500 is resistance and support is seen at 0.73500 and selling at rise is advice in near term. Stochastic has drifted below overbought zone where if price trade below support level correction may be seen of recent sharp rally.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen yesterday closing was seen at 77.97 after testing lower level of 77.62 where it’s trading positive and in range bound move where 78.5 was almost retested. Today opening was seen at 77.9 and is trading just above 77.65 near 77.86 levels where support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Trading range can be seen for the day where 78.3 will be higher side resistance and support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Stochastic has given positive intersection where side way move in price can be expected.

VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES


Gold: Gold on Friday after the opening at 1605 failed to trade below1570$ and reversal in price was seen and after testing the days high of 1601$ closing was seen at 1597$ which was just below the resistance level of 1600$. Today opening was seen positive around 1602$ and is trading at 1588$ where it’s trading near the support level of 1580$ and till the time 1600$ is holding we expect it to test 1550$ and 1540$ to be tested immediately. On higher side at 1600$ where if it holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1540$ on lower side and further trading below 1540$ will continue the down trend on market where 1470$ will be tested. Stochastic has entered in the oversold zone and is still moving down side where if the support level is crossed will further move lower and will indicate down trend to continue.

Silver: Silver on Friday which opened at 29.25$ tested the lower level of 29.08 where it failed to cross the lower level of 29 and reversal in price were seen where it tested the higher level of 29.89 and closing was also seen at 29.62$ just facing resistance at 30$. Today after the flat opening at 28.9$ it is trading at 28.5$ where on lower side support is taken at 28 $ and next support is coming at 26$. If sustain trading is seen below 28$ will test the lower level of 26$ to 24$ immediately, where as only crossover above 31$ on closing basis will bring to 35$ next resistance level. On higher side only on closing basis above 31$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. Stochastic has just neared the oversold zone around 20% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 28$ will bring to next support of 24$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude on Friday where the positive opening was seen at 104.23$ from the previous closing of 103.2$ after testing the fresh low of 102.4$ reversal in price were seen and closing was seen at 103.74 after testing the days high of 104.52$. Today after gap down opening at 102.87 failed to cross the higher resistance of 103 and is trading at 102.6 $ where below 102.4$ is support if broken further down side move can be expected. Crossover above 105$ is must for further uptrend to continue where we wait for closing basis breakout for higher level of 111$. If sustain trading below 102.5$ will open the door for 101 to 98$ on lower side till the time 105$ is holding for the day. Stochastic is trading flat to negative in the mid zone where is turned negative and is expected to move towards the 25% where some more down side can be seen in the price in coming days.

Copper: Copper yesterday after the gap up opening at 7307 tested the higher resistance of 7400 and closing was seen flat around the level of 7300 where on lower side support was seen at 7260 level. Today we look side way to negative trend to continue where will test 7250 level soon and only if the resistance of 7400 break will continue the uptrend where it will test 7150 – 7450 level immediately. Today expected to give opening near to 7250 and expected trading range will be 7600 to 7300 where selling is advise on every rise till the time resistance is holding at 8000. Stochastic has turned negative and is just drifted below overbought zone where it is just below 20% zone where further price action will bring it towards oversold zone.

Report By
xDirect India


Thursday, 15 December 2011

View on Major Currencies & Commodities 15th Dec, 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY

EUR/USD: EURO yesterday after the opening was seen at 1.3030 failed to trade above 1.3050 and after crossing the lower support of 1.3000 it gave further selling where on lower side it tested the level of 1.2950 just testing support of 1.2950 and closing was seen at 1.2980 at days low. Today’s opening was seen at 1.2980 level and taking the lower support of 1.2950 is trading at 1.3010 and expect to trade negative in the range of 1.3050 and 1.2800 for the day. We are looking at some selling pressure in Euro from higher level where it’s not expected to trade above and cross 1.3150 and is expected to test 1.2800 in medium terms. Stochastic which has given a down trend is nearing the mid zone below 30% moving to enter oversold zone indicating further selling to continue in near term.
GBP/USD: British Pound yesterday after the opening at 1.5480 failed to trade above 1.5550 and later part of trading session it tested the lower level of 1.5400 and closing was seen at 1.5465 level. Today the opening was seen flat around the level of 1.5465 and taking support of 1.5420 is trading at 1.5490 level and expected trading range will be 1.5550 – 1.5400. Further trading below 1.5450 will continue the down trend where 1.5400 to 1.5350 will be immediate target. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1.5550 and crossover above the same will move to test 1.5800 to 1.5900 again. Till the time 1.5550 is holding on closing basis short correction can be expected. Stochastic which were trading in mid zone with positive intersection is nearing the higher zone where some upside may be expected.

AUD/USD: Australian Dollar yesterday after the opening at 1.0014 level failed to sustain above 1.0050 level and closing was seen at 0.9908 where days low was posted at 0.9880 previous days low was seen. Today after flat opening around 0.9910 it fails to cross the lower support of 0.9860 and is trading at 0.9910 where immediate resistance is seen at 0.9950 and if trading is seen below 0.9900 will move to test 0.9840 and 0.9800 immediately. On higher side sustain trading above immediate resistance level of 0.9980 will bring to 1.0100 level. Stochastic has given negative intersection just in the mid zone where down side move can be expected.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar yesterday after the opening at 0.7565 failed to trade above 0.7600 and after crossing the lower support of 0.7550 it tested the lower level of 0.7480 support and closing was seen at 0.7502 level. Today the opening was seen flat at 0.7502 taking support of 0.7460 it is trading at 0.7495 level where on higher side resistance is seen at 0.7550 and till the time its holding the same selling at rise is expected and will test 0.7440 to 0.7350 in near term. We expected some range bound to down side move in market where 0.7500 is resistance and support is seen at 0.73500 and selling at rise is advice in near term. Stochastic has drifted below overbought zone where if price trade below support level correction may be seen of recent sharp rally.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen yesterday closing was seen at 77.97 after testing lower level of 77.62 where it’s trading positive and in range bound move where 78.5 was almost retested. Today opening was seen at 77.9 and is trading just above 77.65 near 77.86 levels where support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Trading range can be seen for the day where 78.3 will be higher side resistance and support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Stochastic has given positive intersection where side way move in price can be expected.


VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES



Gold:
Gold yesterday after the opening at 1666$ failed to trade above 1630$ and after crossing the support level of 1625$ it tested the level of 1563$ and closing was also seen near the lower level of 1574$. Today opening was seen flat around 1577$ and is trading at 1575$ where its trading near the support level of 1562$ and till the time 1600$ is holding we expect it to test 1550$ and 1540$ to be tested immediately. On higher side at 1600$ where if it holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1540$ on lower side and further trading below 1540$ will continue the down trend on market where 1470$ will be tested. Stochastic has entered in the oversold zone and is still moving down side where if the support level is crossed will further move lower and will indicate down trend to continue.

Silver: Silver yesterday after opening at 30.75$ continued to down trend where on higher side it resistance was seen at 31$ and after crossing the level of 30.5 it moved and tested the lower level of 28.5$ and closing was just above the support level of 28$ around 28.7$. Today after the flat opening at 28.9$ it is trading at 28.5$ where on lower side support is taken at 28 $ and next support is coming at 26$. If sustain trading is seen below 28$ will test the lower level of 26$ to 24$ immediately, where as only crossover above 31$ on closing basis will bring to 35$ next resistance level. On higher side only on closing basis above 31$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. Stochastic has just neared the oversold zone around 10% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 28$ will bring to next support of 24$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude yesterday after sideway opening at 108.5 $ and failed to cross the higher resistance of 109$ and trading was seen negative where on lower side it tested the lower level of 104$ and closing was also seen at 104$. Today after gap up opening at 105 failed to cross the higher resistance of 105.5 and is trading at 105.35$ where below 105$ is support if broken further down side move can be expected. Crossover above 107$ is must for further uptrend to continue where we wait for closing basis breakout for higher level of 111$. If sustain trading below 105$ will open the door for 102 to 98$ on lower side till the time 107$ is holding for the day. Stochastic is trading flat to negative in the mid zone where is turned negative and is expected to move towards the 25% where some more down side can be seen in the price in coming days.

Copper: Copper yesterday after the gap down opening at 7485 traded below the support level of 7500 and tested the low of 7130 and closing was just seen near 7200 level where immediate support is seen at 6700. If sustain trading is seen below 7100 on closing basis will open the door for 6900 and 6300 level soon. Today we look side way to negative trend to continue where will test 7100 level soon and only if the resistance of 7300 break will continue the uptrend where it will test 8200 – 8550 level immediately. Today expected to give opening near to 7500 and expected trading range will be 7600 to 7300 where selling is advise on every rise till the time resistance is holding at 8000. Stochastic has turned negative and is just drifted below overbought zone where it is just below 20% zone where further price action will bring it towards oversold zone.

Report By
xDirect India


Wednesday, 14 December 2011

View on Major Currencies & Commodities 14th Dec, 2011

VIEW ON MAJOR CURRENCY

EUR/USD
: EURO yesterday after the opening was seen at 1.3170 failed to trade above 1.3200 and after crossing the lower support of 1.3160 it gave further selling where on lower side it tested the level of 1.3008 just testing support of 1.3000 and closing was seen at 1.3033 at days low. Today’s opening was seen at 1.3033 level and taking the lower support of 1.3000 is trading at 1.3045 and expect to trade negative in the range of 1.3100 and 1.2900 for the day. We are looking at some selling pressure in Euro from higher level where it’s not expected to trade above and cross 1.3250 and is expected to test 1.3050 in medium terms. Stochastic which has given a down trend is nearing the mid zone below 30% moving to enter oversold zone indicating further selling to continue in near term.

GBP/USD:
British Pound yesterday after the opening at 1.5580 failed to trade above 1.5650 and later part of trading session it tested the lower level of 1.5445 and closing was seen at 1.5480 level. Today the opening was seen flat around the level of 1.5480 and taking support of 1.5450 is trading at 1.5490 level and expected trading range will be 1.5550 – 1.5400. Further trading below 1.5450 will continue the down trend where 1.5400 to 1.5350 will be immediate target. On higher side immediate resistance is seen at 1.5550 and crossover above the same will move to test 1.5800 to 1.5900 again. Till the time 1.5550 is holding on closing basis short correction can be expected. Stochastic which were trading in mid zone with positive intersection is nearing the higher zone where some upside may be expected.

AUD/USD: Australian Dollar yesterday after the opening at 1.0070 level failed to sustain above 1.0200 level and closing was seen at 1.0015 where days low was posted at 0.9977 previous days low was seen. Today after flat opening around 1.0015 it fails to cross the lower support of 0.9980 and is trading at 1.0025 where immediate resistance is seen at 1.0080 and if trading is seen below 1.0010 will move to test 0.9940 and 0.9900 immediately. On higher side sustain trading above immediate resistance level of 1.0250 will bring to 1.0500 level. Stochastic has given negative intersection just in the mid zone where down side move can be expected.

NZD/USD: Newzeland Dollar yesterday after the opening at 0.7625 failed to trade above 0.7670 and after crossing the lower support of 0.7600 it tested the lower level of 0.7550 support and closing was seen at 0.7566 level. Today the opening was seen flat at 0.7565 taking support of 0.7530 it is trading at 0.7565 level where on higher side resistance is seen at 0.7600 and till the time its holding the same selling at rise is expected and will test 0.7480 to 0.7400 in near term. We expected some range bound to down side move in market where 0.7700 is resistance and support is seen at 0.7500 and selling at rise is advice in near term. Stochastic has drifted below overbought zone where if price trade below support level correction may be seen of recent sharp rally.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen yesterday closing was seen at 77.97 after testing lower level of 77.62 where it’s trading positive and in range bound move where 78.5 was almost retested. Today opening was seen at 77.9 and is trading just above 77.65 near 77.86 levels where support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Trading range can be seen for the day where 78.3 will be higher side resistance and support is seen at 77.5 on lower side. Stochastic has given positive intersection where side way move in price can be expected.

VIEW ON MAJOR COMMODITIES

Gold:
Gold yesterday after the opening at 1666$ failed to trade above 1680$ and after crossing the support level of 1655$ it tested the level of 1622$ and closing was also seen near the lower level of 1620$. Today opening was seen flat around 1630$ and is trading at 1637$ where its trading below the support level of 1625$ and till the time 1655$ is holding we expect it to test 1600$ and 1580$ to be tested immediately. On higher side at 1655$ where if it holding the resistance level will bring the price to move test the lower support of 1605$ on lower side and further trading below 1600$ will continue the down trend on market where 1550$ will be tested. Stochastic has entered in the oversold zone and is still moving down side where if the support level is crossed will further move lower and will indicate down trend to continue.

Silver: Silver yesterday after opening at 31.2$ continued to down trend where on higher side it resistance was seen at 32$ and after crossing the level of 31 it moved and tested the lower level of 30.4$ and closing was just above the support level of 30.5$ around 30.7$. Today after the flat opening at 30.75$ it is trading at 30.9$ where on lower side support is taken at 30.5 $ and next support is coming at 30$. If sustain trading is seen below 31$ will test the lower level of 30.4$ to 30$ immediately, where as only crossover above 33$ on closing basis will bring to 35$ next resistance level. On higher side only on closing basis above 35$ will hamper the bearish outlook in silver where it will test 39$ on higher side. On lower side immediate support is seen at 31$ where sustain trading below the same will bring to 30 to 28$ in near to medium term. Stochastic has just neared the mid zone around 40% and is trading flat indicating if the resistance is holding and if the price trade below 31$ will bring to next support of 30$ in near term.

Brent Crude oil: Brent Crude yesterday after sideway opening at 107.11$ and failed to cross the lower support of 107$ and trading was seen positive where on lower side it tested the higher level of 111$ and closing was also seen at 109.4$. Today after gap down opening at 108.5 failed to cross the higher resistance of 109.5 and is trading at 108.7$ where below 108.5$ is support if broken further down side move can be expected. Crossover above 110$ is must for further uptrend to continue where we wait for closing basis breakout for higher level of 115$. If sustain trading below 107$ will open the door for 105.5 to 103$ on lower side till the time 112$ is holding for the day. Stochastic is trading flat to negative in the mid zone where is turned negative and is expected to move towards the 25% where some more down side can be seen in the price in coming days.

Copper: Copper yesterday after the Flat opening at 7580 @ traded below the support level of 7550 and tested the low of 7500 and closing was just seen near 7533 level where immediate support is seen at 7500. If sustain trading is seen below 7500 on closing basis will open the door for 7400 and 7300 level soon. Today we look side way to negative trend to continue where will test 7300 level soon and only if the resistance of 7700 break will continue the uptrend where it will test 8200 – 8550 level immediately. Today expected to give opening near to 7500 and expected trading range will be 7600 to 7300 where selling is advise on every rise till the time resistance is holding at 8000. Stochastic has turned negative and is just drifted below overbought zone where it is just below 70% zone where further price action will bring it towards oversold zone.

Report By
xDirect India

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